The Guide To The 2015 Tigers: Over Unders

Clip art illustration of a Cartoon Tiger with a Missing Tooth

People enjoy sports. People enjoy arguing. People enjoy wagering. Those are pretty easy statements to get behind. Maybe you don’t personally enjoy all three, but a big portion of the population certainly does. With that in mind, let’s consider the 2015Tigers and a whole host of random predictions we can make about the team. These are the 2015 Over/Unders. Some are serious, some are silly.

The idea here is that I’ll be setting the value at what expect to be the mean value. So I’m setting the over/under at 86.5 wins, meaning I think it’s equally likely that they win more games as it is that they win fewer games. Feel free to suggest others in the comments section and weigh in on where you stand on some of the more interesting ones.

    1. Wins (86.5)
    2. Miguel Cabrera home runs (32.5)
    3. Anibal Sanchez 13+K starts (2.5)
    4. Ridiculous catches by Anthony Gose (5.5)
    5. Hilariously unfair throws by Yoenis Cespedes (4.5)
    6. Times I comment about a play Torii Hunter would not have made (30.5)
    7. Times FSD plays the footage of Rod Allen charging the mound in Japan (0.5)
    8. Number of games it takes for me to figure out Hook Slide’s radio delay thing to get the radio broadcast instead of the TV audio (3.5)
    9. Times Verlander will be “tinkering” (4.5)
    10. Tigers All-Stars (2.5)
    11. Latest time a game ends (Eastern Time)  (2:17am)
    12. Insane double plays by Iglesias and Kinsler (4.5)
    13. Victor Martinez’s wRC+ (135.5)
    14. J.D. Martinez’s wRC+ (125.5)
    15. Most strikeouts in one game by a starter (15.5)
    16. Date of first fair-weather panic (May 2)
    17. Times I pine for Porcello (∞)
    18. Borderline suggestive tweets from @PAWSDetroit (2.5)
    19. Games I attend (6.5)
    20. No hit bids – 6+ innings (4.5)
    21. Ian Kinsler DRS/UZR average (+9.5)
    22. Alex Avila’s framing metric average (+2.5 runs)
    23. Walk off wins (3.5)
    24. Joe Nathan meltdowns (5.5)
    25. Joakim Soria milk-carton moments (7.5)
    26. David Price’s fWAR (5.0)
    27. Nick Castellanos contact rate (75.0%)
    28. Nick Castellanos’ DRS/UZR average (-12)
    29. Games that will be fun (157.5)
    30. Net games won or lost by Ausmus (-3)

One response

  1. Here’s a few I might add!
    Base-Running Runs manufactured (-3.5) [cf. Royals BRR (16+)]
    Total season TOOTBLANs (40)
    Times Miggy tries to take an extra base when he shouldn’t (6.0)
    Times I wince or tense up when Miggy or Victor try to take an extra base or steal (50.2)
    Date when Nathan is no longer the closer (May 29th)

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