The Morning Edition (April 22, 2013)

Clip art illustration of a Cartoon Tiger with a Missing Tooth

From Last Night:

  • Zito carves up the Padres enroute to a 5-0 win
  • Five Mets combine to shut out the Nats 2-0
  • The Rays offense wakes up to punish the A’s in an 8-1 win

What I’m Watching Today:

  • Shelby Miller faces Dan Haren in a battle of pitchers going in opposite directions (7p Eastern)
  • Sabathia and the Yankees travel to Tampa to face Matt Moore in the Rays in a battle of lefties (7p Eastern)
  • Felix Hernandez gets his first crack at the Astros in 2013 (8p Eastern)

The Big Question:

  • How long can the Rockies exceed expectations?

The Tigers pitchers comfortably lead the entire league in FIP and WAR at 2.79 and 4.2, respectively, which is mostly due to their 2nd best K/9 and league best HR/9. But as you can also notice, their team ERA (3.81) is in the middle of the pack and they have allowed the highest BABIP (.326). All of this points to a pretty filthy pitching staff that could benefit from some better defense. They went a long time before they made their first error, but we’ve seen in recent games that they have a tendency not to make 50/50 plays. What’s remarkable about this? The bullpen isn’t actually a weakness. 

Tigers Starters   : 108 IP, 8.58 K/9, 2.42 BB/9, 0.50 HR/9, .327 BABIP, 3.42 ERA, 2.84 FIP

Tigers Relievers: 59.2 IP, 11.46 K/9, 4.68 BB/9, 0.45 HR/9, .324 BABIP, 4.53 ERA, 2.69 FIP

Both groups lead their counterparts in WAR and FIP. The ‘pen walks more, but they make up for it by striking out more too. They allow homeruns at the same rate and allow the same batting average on balls in play. Their FIP are essentially the same. Their ERA is elevated, but that’s mostly outside of their control. Funny how that works out, we don’t need to panic.

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