Dynamic Standings Projection (June 26, 2013)

In case you missed it, in April we launched our Dynamic Standings Projection feature on New English D. A full explanation of the methodology can be found here or by clicking the tab at the top of the page. This project seeks to provide a reasoned and cautious approach to updating our beliefs about the baseball future. You can find a summarization of the original projections here. You’ll notice a column on the far right that indicates the difference in projected wins from the preseason prediction. Positive numbers mean teams are now projected to win more games and negative numbers mean a team is now projected to win fewer games. You’ll notice a series of graphs below the standings section that track how the projections have evolved over the course of the year.

This Dynamic Standings Projection is updated through the June 25 games.

26-Jun W L PreDiff
TB 88 74 0.543 -3
NYY 87 75 0.537 2
BAL 86 76 0.531 4
BOS 85 77 0.525 8
TOR 84 78 0.519 -3
W L PreDiff
DET 92 70 0.568 -2
CWS 77 85 0.475 -6
CLE 77 85 0.475 6
KC 76 86 0.469 0
MIN 70 92 0.432 5
W L PreDiff
TEX 92 70 0.568 1
OAK 88 74 0.543 4
LAA 80 82 0.494 -8
SEA 73 89 0.451 -2
HOU 60 102 0.370 0
W L PreDiff
ATL 92 70 0.568 2
WSH 88 74 0.543 -7
PHI 81 81 0.500 -3
NYM 73 89 0.451 -5
MIA 59 103 0.364 -4
W L PreDiff
STL 94 68 0.580 6
CIN 93 69 0.574 1
PIT 90 72 0.556 8
MIL 74 88 0.457 -5
CHC 68 94 0.420 0
W L PreDiff
SF 86 76 0.531 -5
ARZ 85 77 0.525 3
LAD 81 81 0.500 -7
SD 79 83 0.488 1
COL 72 90 0.444 9

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