In case you missed it, in April we launched our Dynamic Standings Projection feature on New English D. A full explanation of the methodology can be found here or by clicking the tab at the top of the page. This project seeks to provide a reasoned and cautious approach to updating our beliefs about the baseball future. You can find a summarization of the original projections here. You’ll notice a column on the far right that indicates the difference in projected wins from the preseason prediction. Positive numbers mean teams are now projected to win more games and negative numbers mean a team is now projected to win fewer games. You’ll notice a series of graphs below the standings section that track how the projections have evolved over the course of the year.
This Dynamic Standings Projection is updated through the July 9 games.
10-Jul | W | L | PreDiff | |
TB | 91 | 71 | 0.562 | 0 |
BOS | 88 | 74 | 0.543 | 11 |
NYY | 86 | 76 | 0.531 | 1 |
BAL | 85 | 77 | 0.525 | 3 |
TOR | 82 | 80 | 0.506 | -5 |
W | L | PreDiff | ||
DET | 91 | 71 | 0.562 | -3 |
CLE | 79 | 83 | 0.488 | 8 |
KC | 78 | 84 | 0.481 | 2 |
CWS | 73 | 89 | 0.451 | -10 |
MIN | 67 | 95 | 0.414 | 2 |
W | L | PreDiff | ||
TEX | 93 | 69 | 0.574 | 2 |
OAK | 91 | 71 | 0.562 | 7 |
LAA | 83 | 79 | 0.512 | -5 |
SEA | 73 | 89 | 0.451 | -2 |
HOU | 59 | 103 | 0.364 | -1 |
W | L | PreDiff | ||
ATL | 92 | 70 | 0.568 | 2 |
WSH | 88 | 74 | 0.543 | -7 |
PHI | 82 | 80 | 0.506 | -2 |
NYM | 75 | 87 | 0.463 | -3 |
MIA | 60 | 102 | 0.370 | -3 |
W | L | PreDiff | ||
STL | 94 | 68 | 0.580 | 6 |
CIN | 91 | 71 | 0.562 | -1 |
PIT | 90 | 72 | 0.556 | 8 |
MIL | 73 | 89 | 0.451 | -6 |
CHC | 71 | 91 | 0.438 | 3 |
W | L | PreDiff | ||
LAD | 84 | 78 | 0.519 | -4 |
ARZ | 83 | 79 | 0.512 | 1 |
SF | 81 | 81 | 0.500 | -10 |
SD | 75 | 87 | 0.463 | -3 |
COL | 71 | 91 | 0.438 | 8 |