Dynamic Standings Projection (July 10, 2013)

In case you missed it, in April we launched our Dynamic Standings Projection feature on New English D. A full explanation of the methodology can be found here or by clicking the tab at the top of the page. This project seeks to provide a reasoned and cautious approach to updating our beliefs about the baseball future. You can find a summarization of the original projections here. You’ll notice a column on the far right that indicates the difference in projected wins from the preseason prediction. Positive numbers mean teams are now projected to win more games and negative numbers mean a team is now projected to win fewer games. You’ll notice a series of graphs below the standings section that track how the projections have evolved over the course of the year.

This Dynamic Standings Projection is updated through the July 9 games.

10-Jul W L   PreDiff
TB 91 71 0.562 0
BOS 88 74 0.543 11
NYY 86 76 0.531 1
BAL 85 77 0.525 3
TOR 82 80 0.506 -5
W L   PreDiff
DET 91 71 0.562 -3
CLE 79 83 0.488 8
KC 78 84 0.481 2
CWS 73 89 0.451 -10
MIN 67 95 0.414 2
W L   PreDiff
TEX 93 69 0.574 2
OAK 91 71 0.562 7
LAA 83 79 0.512 -5
SEA 73 89 0.451 -2
HOU 59 103 0.364 -1
W L   PreDiff
ATL 92 70 0.568 2
WSH 88 74 0.543 -7
PHI 82 80 0.506 -2
NYM 75 87 0.463 -3
MIA 60 102 0.370 -3
W L   PreDiff
STL 94 68 0.580 6
CIN 91 71 0.562 -1
PIT 90 72 0.556 8
MIL 73 89 0.451 -6
CHC 71 91 0.438 3
W L   PreDiff
LAD 84 78 0.519 -4
ARZ 83 79 0.512 1
SF 81 81 0.500 -10
SD 75 87 0.463 -3
COL 71 91 0.438 8

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