Dynamic Standings Projection (July 17, 2013)

In case you missed it, in April we launched our Dynamic Standings Projection feature on New English D. A full explanation of the methodology can be found here or by clicking the tab at the top of the page. This project seeks to provide a reasoned and cautious approach to updating our beliefs about the baseball future. You can find a summarization of the original projections here. You’ll notice a column on the far right that indicates the difference in projected wins from the preseason prediction. Positive numbers mean teams are now projected to win more games and negative numbers mean a team is now projected to win fewer games. You’ll notice a series of graphs below the standings section that track how the projections have evolved over the course of the year.

This Dynamic Standings Projection is updated through the All-Star break.

17-Jul W L   PreDiff
TB 92 70 0.568 1
BOS 89 73 0.549 12
NYY 86 76 0.531 1
BAL 86 76 0.531 4
TOR 82 80 0.506 -5
W L   PreDiff
DET 91 71 0.562 -3
CLE 80 82 0.494 9
KC 76 86 0.469 0
CWS 73 89 0.451 -10
MIN 67 95 0.414 2
W L   PreDiff
TEX 92 70 0.568 1
OAK 91 71 0.562 7
LAA 81 81 0.500 -7
SEA 74 88 0.457 -1
HOU 58 104 0.358 -2
W L   PreDiff
ATL 91 71 0.562 1
WSH 87 75 0.537 -8
PHI 82 80 0.506 -2
NYM 75 87 0.463 -3
MIA 62 100 0.383 -1
W L   PreDiff
STL 94 68 0.580 6
CIN 91 71 0.562 -1
PIT 91 71 0.562 9
MIL 71 91 0.438 -8
CHC 71 91 0.438 3
W L   PreDiff
LAD 84 78 0.519 -4
ARZ 84 78 0.519 2
SF 81 81 0.500 -10
SD 75 87 0.463 -3
COL 72 90 0.444 9

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