Dynamic Standings Projection (July 24, 2013)

In case you missed it, in April we launched our Dynamic Standings Projection feature on New English D. A full explanation of the methodology can be found here or by clicking the tab at the top of the page. This project seeks to provide a reasoned and cautious approach to updating our beliefs about the baseball future. You can find a summarization of the original projections here. You’ll notice a column on the far right that indicates the difference in projected wins from the preseason prediction. Positive numbers mean teams are now projected to win more games and negative numbers mean a team is now projected to win fewer games. You’ll notice a series of graphs below the standings section that track how the projections have evolved over the course of the year.

This Dynamic Standings Projection is updated through the July 23 games.

24-Jul W L   PreDiff
TB 93 69 0.574 2
BOS 90 72 0.556 13
BAL 88 74 0.543 6
NYY 86 76 0.531 1
TOR 79 83 0.488 -8
W L   PreDiff
DET 92 70 0.568 -2
CLE 79 83 0.488 8
KC 76 86 0.469 0
CWS 72 90 0.444 -11
MIN 69 93 0.426 4
W L   PreDiff
TEX 90 72 0.556 -1
OAK 90 72 0.556 6
LAA 81 81 0.500 -7
SEA 77 85 0.475 2
HOU 57 105 0.352 -3
W L   PreDiff
ATL 90 72 0.556 0
WSH 84 78 0.519 -11
PHI 81 81 0.500 -3
NYM 76 86 0.469 -2
MIA 62 100 0.383 -1
W L   PreDiff
STL 95 67 0.586 7
CIN 92 70 0.568 0
PIT 91 71 0.562 9
MIL 72 90 0.444 -7
CHC 71 91 0.438 3
W L   PreDiff
LAD 86 76 0.531 -2
ARZ 83 79 0.512 1
SF 81 81 0.500 -10
SD 74 88 0.457 -4
COL 72 90 0.444 9

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