Dynamic Standings Projection (July 31, 2013)

In case you missed it, in April we launched our Dynamic Standings Projection feature on New English D. A full explanation of the methodology can be found here or by clicking the tab at the top of the page. This project seeks to provide a reasoned and cautious approach to updating our beliefs about the baseball future. You can find a summarization of the original projections here. You’ll notice a column on the far right that indicates the difference in projected wins from the preseason prediction. Positive numbers mean teams are now projected to win more games and negative numbers mean a team is now projected to win fewer games. You’ll notice a series of graphs below the standings section that track how the projections have evolved over the course of the year.

This Dynamic Standings Projection is updated through the July 30 games.

31-Jul W L   PreDiff
TB 95 67 0.586 4
BOS 90 72 0.556 13
BAL 87 75 0.537 5
NYY 84 78 0.519 -1
TOR 79 83 0.488 -8
W L   PreDiff
DET 93 69 0.574 -1
CLE 83 79 0.512 12
KC 80 82 0.494 4
CWS 70 92 0.432 -13
MIN 69 93 0.426 4
W L   PreDiff
OAK 92 70 0.568 8
TEX 89 73 0.549 -2
LAA 79 83 0.488 -9
SEA 76 86 0.469 1
HOU 56 106 0.346 -4
W L   PreDiff
ATL 93 69 0.574 3
WSH 84 78 0.519 -11
PHI 79 83 0.488 -5
NYM 76 86 0.469 -2
MIA 62 100 0.383 -1
W L   PreDiff
STL 93 69 0.574 5
PIT 92 70 0.568 10
CIN 90 72 0.556 -2
MIL 73 89 0.451 -6
CHC 72 90 0.444 4
W L   PreDiff
LAD 88 74 0.543 6
ARZ 82 80 0.506 0
SF 78 84 0.481 -13
SD 76 86 0.469 -2
COL 72 90 0.444 9

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