Dynamic Standings Projection (August 14, 2013)

In case you missed it, in April we launched our Dynamic Standings Projection feature on New English D. A full explanation of the methodology can be found here or by clicking the tab at the top of the page. This project seeks to provide a reasoned and cautious approach to updating our beliefs about the baseball future. You can find a summarization of the original projections here. You’ll notice a column on the far right that indicates the difference in projected wins from the preseason prediction. Positive numbers mean teams are now projected to win more games and negative numbers mean a team is now projected to win fewer games. You’ll notice a series of graphs below the standings section that track how the projections have evolved over the course of the year.

This Dynamic Standings Projection is updated through the August 13 games.

14-Aug W L   PreDiff
TB 91 71 0.562 0
BOS 91 71 0.562 14
BAL 87 75 0.537 5
NYY 84 78 0.519 -1
TOR 77 85 0.475 -10
W L   PreDiff
DET 95 67 0.586 1
KC 83 79 0.512 7
CLE 82 80 0.506 11
MIN 71 91 0.438 6
CWS 69 93 0.426 -14
W L   PreDiff
TEX 93 69 0.574 2
OAK 90 72 0.556 6
LAA 77 85 0.475 -11
SEA 75 87 0.463 0
HOU 54 108 0.333 -6
W L   PreDiff
ATL 96 66 0.593 6
WSH 84 78 0.519 -11
NYM 76 86 0.469 -2
PHI 75 87 0.463 -9
MIA 62 100 0.383 -1
W L   PreDiff
STL 92 70 0.568 4
PIT 92 70 0.568 10
CIN 91 71 0.562 -1
MIL 73 89 0.451 -6
CHC 70 92 0.432 2
W L   PreDiff
LAD 92 70 0.568 4
ARZ 83 79 0.512 1
SF 77 85 0.475 -14
SD 75 87 0.463 -3
COL 72 90 0.444 9

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