Dynamic Standings Projection (September 19, 2013)

In case you missed it, in April we launched our Dynamic Standings Projection feature on New English D. A full explanation of the methodology can be found here or by clicking the tab at the top of the page. This project seeks to provide a reasoned and cautious approach to updating our beliefs about the baseball future. You can find a summarization of the original projections here. You’ll notice a column on the far right that indicates the difference in projected wins from the preseason prediction. Positive numbers mean teams are now projected to win more games and negative numbers mean a team is now projected to win fewer games. You’ll notice a series of graphs below the standings section that track how the projections have evolved over the course of the year.

This Dynamic Standings Projection is updated through the September 18th games. Note that DSP posts have been moved to Thursday accommodate something that won’t interest you. 

19-Sep W L   PreDiff
BOS 96 66 0.593 19
TB 89 73 0.549 -2
BAL 87 75 0.537 5
NYY 85 77 0.525 0
TOR 75 87 0.463 -12
W L   PreDiff
DET 94 68 0.580 0
CLE 86 76 0.531 15
KC 85 77 0.525 9
MIN 69 93 0.426 4
CWS 65 97 0.401 -18
W L   PreDiff
OAK 94 68 0.580 10
TEX 88 74 0.543 -3
LAA 79 83 0.488 -9
SEA 72 90 0.444 -3
HOU 55 107 0.340 -5
W L   PreDiff
ATL 96 66 0.593 6
WSH 87 75 0.537 -8
PHI 76 86 0.469 -8
NYM 73 89 0.451 -5
MIA 60 102 0.370 -3
W L   PreDiff
STL 94 68 0.580 6
CIN 92 70 0.568 0
PIT 92 70 0.568 10
MIL 73 89 0.451 -6
CHC 67 95 0.414 -1
W L   PreDiff
LAD 92 70 0.568 4
ARZ 83 79 0.512 1
SF 76 86 0.469 -15
SD 76 86 0.469 -2
COL 73 89 0.451 10

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