Dynamic Standings Projection (August 7, 2013)

In case you missed it, in April we launched our Dynamic Standings Projection feature on New English D. A full explanation of the methodology can be found here or by clicking the tab at the top of the page. This project seeks to provide a reasoned and cautious approach to updating our beliefs about the baseball future. You can find a summarization of the original projections here. You’ll notice a column on the far right that indicates the difference in projected wins from the preseason prediction. Positive numbers mean teams are now projected to win more games and negative numbers mean a team is now projected to win fewer games. You’ll notice a series of graphs below the standings section that track how the projections have evolved over the course of the year.

This Dynamic Standings Projection is updated through the August 6 games.

7-Aug W L   PreDiff
TB 94 68 0.580 3
BOS 91 71 0.562 14
BAL 87 75 0.537 5
NYY 83 79 0.512 -2
TOR 79 83 0.488 -8
W L   PreDiff
DET 96 66 0.593 2
CLE 83 79 0.512 12
KC 81 81 0.500 5
MIN 70 92 0.432 5
CWS 68 94 0.420 -15
W L   PreDiff
TEX 91 71 0.562 0
OAK 90 72 0.556 6
LAA 78 84 0.481 -10
SEA 75 87 0.463 0
HOU 56 106 0.346 -4
W L   PreDiff
ATL 96 66 0.593 6
WSH 83 79 0.512 -12
PHI 77 85 0.475 -7
NYM 75 87 0.463 -3
MIA 63 99 0.389 0
W L   PreDiff
STL 93 69 0.574 5
PIT 93 69 0.574 11
CIN 90 72 0.556 -2
MIL 72 90 0.444 -7
CHC 70 92 0.432 2
W L   PreDiff
LAD 89 73 0.549 1
ARZ 82 80 0.506 0
SF 78 84 0.481 -13
SD 76 86 0.469 -2
COL 71 91 0.438 8

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