Dynamic Standings Projection (September 26, 2013)

In case you missed it, in April we launched our Dynamic Standings Projection feature on New English D. A full explanation of the methodology can be found here or by clicking the tab at the top of the page. This project seeks to provide a reasoned and cautious approach to updating our beliefs about the baseball future. You can find a summarization of the original projections here. You’ll notice a column on the far right that indicates the difference in projected wins from the preseason prediction. Positive numbers mean teams are now projected to win more games and negative numbers mean a team is now projected to win fewer games. You’ll notice a series of graphs below the standings section that track how the projections have evolved over the course of the year.

This Dynamic Standings Projection is updated through the September 25th games. Note that DSP posts have been moved to Thursday accommodate something that won’t interest you. 

26-Sep W L   PreDiff
BOS 97 65 0.599 20
TB 91 71 0.562 0
NYY 84 78 0.519 -1
BAL 84 78 0.519 2
TOR 74 88 0.457 -13
W L   PreDiff
DET 95 67 0.586 1
CLE 90 72 0.556 19
KC 85 77 0.525 9
MIN 66 96 0.407 1
CWS 64 98 0.395 -19
W L   PreDiff
OAK 96 66 0.593 12
TEX 89 73 0.549 -2
LAA 80 82 0.494 -8
SEA 71 91 0.438 -4
HOU 52 110 0.321 -8
W L   PreDiff
ATL 95 67 0.586 5
WSH 86 76 0.531 -9
NYM 75 87 0.463 -3
PHI 74 88 0.457 -10
MIA 60 102 0.370 -3
W L   PreDiff
STL 96 66 0.593 8
PIT 93 69 0.574 11
CIN 92 70 0.568 0
MIL 73 89 0.451 -6
CHC 67 95 0.414 -1
W L   PreDiff
LAD 93 69 0.574 5
ARZ 82 80 0.506 0
SD 76 86 0.469 -2
SF 75 87 0.463 -16
COL 73 89 0.451 10

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