Dynamic Standings Projection (September 26, 2013)

In case you missed it, in April we launched our Dynamic Standings Projection feature on New English D. A full explanation of the methodology can be found here or by clicking the tab at the top of the page. This project seeks to provide a reasoned and cautious approach to updating our beliefs about the baseball future. You can find a summarization of the original projections here. You’ll notice a column on the far right that indicates the difference in projected wins from the preseason prediction. Positive numbers mean teams are now projected to win more games and negative numbers mean a team is now projected to win fewer games. You’ll notice a series of graphs below the standings section that track how the projections have evolved over the course of the year.

This Dynamic Standings Projection is updated through the September 25th games. Note that DSP posts have been moved to Thursday accommodate something that won’t interest you. 

26-Sep W L   PreDiff
BOS 97 65 0.599 20
TB 91 71 0.562 0
NYY 84 78 0.519 -1
BAL 84 78 0.519 2
TOR 74 88 0.457 -13
W L   PreDiff
DET 95 67 0.586 1
CLE 90 72 0.556 19
KC 85 77 0.525 9
MIN 66 96 0.407 1
CWS 64 98 0.395 -19
W L   PreDiff
OAK 96 66 0.593 12
TEX 89 73 0.549 -2
LAA 80 82 0.494 -8
SEA 71 91 0.438 -4
HOU 52 110 0.321 -8
W L   PreDiff
ATL 95 67 0.586 5
WSH 86 76 0.531 -9
NYM 75 87 0.463 -3
PHI 74 88 0.457 -10
MIA 60 102 0.370 -3
W L   PreDiff
STL 96 66 0.593 8
PIT 93 69 0.574 11
CIN 92 70 0.568 0
MIL 73 89 0.451 -6
CHC 67 95 0.414 -1
W L   PreDiff
LAD 93 69 0.574 5
ARZ 82 80 0.506 0
SD 76 86 0.469 -2
SF 75 87 0.463 -16
COL 73 89 0.451 10

pic1 pic2 pic3 pic4 pic5 pic6

The Tigers Claim The Central

Clip art illustration of a Cartoon Tiger with a Missing Tooth

Being a fan isn’t a rational endeavor. As much as we apply analytic thinking to sports, we can’t engage that kind of clear-headed thinking about our favorite team. We can think about individual players and games rationally, but we can’t experience the season dispassionately. That’s not a bad thing. When we do analysis here, we do it rationally. When we watch baseball, when we watch our favorite team, it’s about experiencing a cavalcade of emotions. From April to October, it’s about joy, sadness, excitement, amazement, heartbreak, and even, love.

So much can be said about the practice of being a baseball fan, but I think the best way to describe being a fan throughout the season is to liken it to falling in love. You go through stages, you’re tested, and you grow together. That might be a stupid way to look at it, but I don’t care, this isn’t about being rational. It’s about being a fan and being a fan is about falling in love.

We can extend this metaphor as much as we want, but I’ll keep it short. That first moment of infatuation was the April 17th game in Seattle in which Scherzer dueled Felix and the game ended with Brayan Pena absorbing a tackle from Justin Smoak. I think that game ended around 3am. It was my birthday. My wife had gone to bed. Twitter activity was dying down. It felt like it was just me and the team staying up late.

There was Sanchez striking out 17 and Sanchez flirting with a no-hitter. An otherworldly 3-HR night from Miguel Cabrera on a Sunday evening in Arlington. Despite early struggles, both Avila and Martinez came on strong down the stretch. Verlander tried to avoid the Handshake by running away from Leyland.

Big hit after big hit. Excellent start after excellent start. Max Scherzer made the leap from above average to elite and Porcello made the leap from serviceable to above average. Even when Verlander struggled, he was still pretty darn good. The staff was better than any in Tigers history and made a very serious run at being the best all-time, period.

Miguel Cabrera spent most of the summer playing on Easy as he compiled one of the top offensive seasons in baseball history despite fighting injuries for the final two months. Infante and Hunter and Fister and Benoit all had great and under-appreciated seasons. We lost Peralta for mistakes made last Spring but gained the preposterous wizardry of Jose Iglesias.

Hunter walked off to avoid the sweep against the A’s. Avila and Cabrera hit huge homeruns in Cleveland. The amazing rally on the final Saturday night at Comerica Park.

Day after day, week after week, month after month, they’ve gotten a little closer. The big winning streak in August effectively put the race to bed and a series win against the Tribe later in the month put the final nail in the coffin. 2013 was not about winning another division – a third straight – which they finally did tonight with a 1-0 win over the Twins in game 159. 2013 was about winning four more games. The last four. That’s the goal. The mission. And they’ve taken the first step.

I said at the beginning of the season that I thought this was the year. Rationally, they’re the best team in the league. Objectively, they’ve got the best pitching and the best offense. But I felt it too. An irrational feeling, but it was there. This was how the long road back would end, with the team spraying champagne.

Ten years ago, they lost 119 games. Only Santiago and Infante remain from that team, and they both went away and came back. Only Verlander and Santiago were around when it all changed in 2006. This team isn’t really connected to those two teams. There’s virtually no overlap. But it feels like one single thread. One narrative. One story.

As fans, it is. We’ve been in since then. In 2006, it came from nowhere. We tasted what it was like to cheer for a winner. They came close in 2007 and loaded up for 2008 with Cabrera and Renteria and were supposed to score 1,000 runs. That was our lesson in hubris. They were going to run away and hide and instead lost the first seven games and never really made it close. 2009 was even worse. They fell apart down the stretch and lost the most heartbreaking game I’ve ever seen. I’ve still never watched the highlights. I haven’t talked about it. I honestly haven’t even looked at the box score. I can’t. Not yet.

2010 was a transition season. Mediocre, but a shift with Jackson and Scherzer coming on board. The final push started in 2011. A tight race for most of the summer turned into a laugher when they picked up Fister and rattled off 12 straight wins to take the division by more than  a dozen games. A narrow win against the Yankees in the ALDS and then a good series against the Rangers who were just better.

Last year was about learning to come back. They made a final push over the final two weeks to overtake the White Sox and held off the A’s before annihilating the Yankees. But the World Series, much like in 2006, was a disaster. After such a strong run, it was all over so quickly.

This year was about unfinished business. There is nothing else to prove. They’ve shown the ability to endure an entire season. They’ve shown they can win in the playoffs. It’s about the final four games.

The roster has turned over, but the institutional memory remains. Partly from the front office and the coaching staff, but partly all of us watching every day and living and dying with this team with one last, little thing to prove. Those other teams are special to me. 2006 was about being relevant again. 2011 and 2012 about overcoming the ills the befell the team and the city in 2008 and 2009. This year is about victory.

The funerals ended long ago. No one feels sorry for Tigers fans anymore. The city isn’t the jewel it was fifty years ago, but it’s coming back. This is the last step. It’s not rational to place so much importance on the success of a baseball team, but what are we doing in life if not experiencing things that move us?

I don’t think I’m alone in thinking that this is the Tigers team I’ll tell my kids about. I think there’s a rational and irrational case to be made about that. Every single year, I fall in love with that particular team for a variety of different reasons. I fall in love if they suck and I fall in love if they collapse. It doesn’t really matter. I love baseball. I love the Tigers. And in some strange and indirect way, they love me back.

They don’t have to win the World Series for me to have enjoyed this team more than any that have come before. There have been moments of anger and moments of sadness, but it’s been so much fun every step of the way. Perhaps there’s a connection between this site and all of that. Maybe I’ve had more fun watching this team because I’ve enjoyed writing about them so much. It’s possible, certainly.

For whatever reason – Pena’s tag, Sanchez and Scherzer’s brilliance, Cabrera’s magic, or the rest of the team’s moments big and small – I’ve enjoyed this season more than any other. Part of it is about them and part of it is about me. It’s a partnership. Almost like a marriage. It’s not supposed to be a rational endeavor. We can analyze the sport, but we love it because of what it makes us feel.

Today, I feel pride. And determination. Four more wins. Go Tigers.

How Was The Game? (September 25, 2013)

Clip art illustration of a Cartoon Tiger with a Missing Tooth

Covered in champagne. 

Tigers 1, Twins 0 (Magic # = 0)

Max Scherzer (32 GS, 214.1 IP, 2.90 ERA, 2.74 FIP, 6.4 WAR) fittingly took the mound in game 159 of the 2013 season, which was the game in which the Tigers locked up their third straight American League Central title. Torii Hunter drove in Austin Jackson in the first and that would be all the Tigers would need as one of their aces provided an excellent closing argument for his Cy Young campaign with 7 innings of 2 hit, 0 run baseball that featured 6 walks, but also 10 strikeouts. He was a bit wild at two different points, but otherwise he overpowered the Twins en route to a champagne shower in the clubhouse. Presumably, the Tigers will still play the final three games of the season in Miami this weekend, but their ticket is punched and they will almost certainly head to Oakland starting a week from Friday. The only thing that stands in their way is a three game set with the Marlins in which Rick Porcello (29 GS, 174.2 IP, 4.38 ERA, 3.56 FIP, 3.0 WAR) will begin on the mound. Check back shortly for our thoughts on the division title.

The Moment: Benoit punches out Willingham to clinch the AL Central.

How Was The Game? (September 24, 2013)

Clip art illustration of a Cartoon Tiger with a Missing Tooth

A prelude to curly fries and champagne.

Tigers 4, Twins 2 (Magic # =1)

Doug Fister (32 GS, 207.2 IP, 3.68 ERA, 3.27 FIP, 4.5 WAR) turned in a fine performance in his last start of the regular season, holding the Twins to 2 runs in 6.1 innings to go with 7 strikeouts and just one walk. He left with the lead – a lead the bullpen held – thanks to a 4 run 4th inning that featured 3-HR from the Martinez, Infante, and Jackson. A night after giving one away, the Tigers slammed the door on the Twins and cut their magic number to one with Max Scherzer (31 GS, 207.1 IP, 3.00 ERA, 2.74 FIP, 6.2 WAR) in line to start the clincher on Wednesday during his final start of the season.

The Moment: Jackson sends one into the bullpen to give the Tigers a 4-1 lead.

Porcello and Fister: The Great Ground Ball War of 2013

Clip art illustration of a Cartoon Tiger with a Missing Tooth

The present author has made no attempt to hide his affection for Rick Porcello and Doug Fister. Low walk starters who get a lot of ground balls are a personal favorite and you’re just going to have to accept me for who I am. You’ve seen a lot on these two starters and their ground balling ways over the course of this season, so here’s a little reward for all of you who have stuck around.

Presumably you’re aware that Porcello and Fister get a lot of ground balls, and there’s a chance that you know they’re currently third and fourth among qualifying starters in ground ball percentage at 55.2% and 54.5%, trailing only Masterson and Burnett. And Burnett gets to face the pitcher, so he shouldn’t really count.

Below, I’ve traced their pace from the start of the season through today. Both Fister and Porcello have one more start each before the season wraps up and the team ground ball championship is still up (or down?!) for grabs. Let’s take a look:

pic1

Fister led the way for the first half of the season but Porcello made his move around the midway point and it’s been neck and neck since right around start #22 for each. Porcello has a narrow lead entering the final round, but Fister could induce a few double plays and put himself in position to take home the title.

Reports are scare as to what the particular award will be for the winner, but this seems like something for which New English D should take the time to name and have a ceremony. I can’t imagine either starter would show up, especially considering they’ll be busy trying to win the World Series, but as we enter each pitcher’s final turn through the rotation, the battle for which hurler can induce more ground balls is still very much an open question.

How Was The Game? (September 23, 2013)

Clip art illustration of a Cartoon Tiger with a Missing Tooth

A little longer than it needed to be.

Twins 4, Tigers 3 (Magic # = 2)

Justin Verlander (33 GS, 212.1 IP, 3.56 ERA, 3.37 FIP, 4.9 WAR) is toying with us. Just when you think you’re ready to move on and name someone else the Game One starter, he hangs 12 strikeouts on the Twins in 6 shutout innings in his penultimate start of the season. He had it all working and had little trouble pitching around the baserunners he did allow. On the other side, Hunter doubled in a run in the 5th and Cabrera and Martinez each knocked in a run in the 7th to give the Tigers a 3-0 lead, but the bullpen gave them all back and eventually surrendered the winning run in extra innings. The loss holds the magic number at two but they’ll still look to lock up their third straight AL Central crown (pending an Indians loss) with Doug Fister (31 GS, 201.1 IP, 3.71 ERA, 3.27 FIP, 4.3 WAR) making his final regular season start on Tuesday.

The Moment: Verlander fans 12 Twins in 6 innings.

A Race Between Alex Avila And Victor Martinez

Clip art illustration of a Cartoon Tiger with a Missing Tooth

I’ve lured you here under false pretenses. Sorry about that, but I won’t take up much of your time. This isn’t a post about an actual race, it’s about a metaphorical race and I’ll keep it short. Over the last few months, Alex Avila and Victor Martinez have started raking. Fifty-seven games in, both had OPS’ under .600. That’s not very good if you’re new to OPS. Since then, they’ve been better. Much better. They’re racing to the finish line, one might say. Normally we’d use wOBA or wRC+, but OPS is way easier to gather for an analysis like that, hopefully you’ll accept it as a stand in. Take a look.

pic1

Since game 57, they’ve both been on a march toward awesomeness. The two flat lines in blue are Avila’s DL stints. Let’s get a quick look at their numbers before and after and then I’ll let you go.

Martinez

  PA AVG OBP SLG
First 57 234 0.226 0.278 0.311
After 419 0.346 0.401 0.493

Avila

PA AVG OBP SLG
First 57 158 0.18 0.272 0.309
After 201 0.269 0.355 0.446

The Tigers were 31-26 through their first 57. They are 60-39 since. The two are probably related.

How Was The Game? (September 22, 2013)

Clip art illustration of a Cartoon Tiger with a Missing Tooth

Just a bump in the road.

White Sox 6, Tigers 3 (Magic # = 2)

A day after rallying back to beat the Sox, the Tigers fell short of that goal and left Anibal Sanchez (28 GS, 177 IP, 2.64 ERA, 2.46 FIP, 5.9 WAR) on the hook after he allowed four runs over five innings on 8 hits, 2 walks, and 6 strikeouts. Sanchez was actually quite good for most of the start, but was victimized but a little bit of shaky defense in the 5th that multiplied the mistakes at inopportune times. The bats couldn’t get much going on the other side, scoring only on a Fielder blast, Jackson sac fly, and a Santiago RBI groundout. With the Tribe winning across the Lake, the Tigers wouldn’t have been able to clinch at home anyway, so they’ll have their chances starting in Minnesota Monday night with Justin Verlander (32 GS, 206.1 IP, 3.66 ERA, 3.44 FIP, 4.5 WAR) taking the ball.

The Moment: Prince launches a no doubt blast.

SOEFA Sunday: Reliever Rankings Update (September 22, 2013)

Clip art illustration of a Cartoon Tiger with a Missing Tooth

You’ll recall earlier this year we introduced our very own reliever rankings called SOEFA, which you can read about in detail here. For a brief refresher, it combines inherited runner strand rate, expected OBP against, ERA-, and FIP- into a deviation from league average. This is a measure of performance, not necessarily ability, and seeks to provide a single number to judge relievers that balances context neutral and context dependent numbers. Certain pitchers, such as Craig Kimbrel, cannot be credited for stranding runners because they are never put into those situations. They are not penalized either, however. Additionally, SOEFA penalizes pitchers like Joe Nathan and Mariano Rivera who have done a very poor job when they have been asked to strand runners this season despite great numbers in other categories.

Zero is average, and will generally range between -2.5 to 2.5 with -1 to 1 being most common. This includes all pitchers who have thrown at least 20 IP in relief as of this morning, so the average score on this list is closer to 0.09 and the inherited runner threshold has been increased from 5 to 8. SOEFA is a rate stat not a counting stat. Should you wish to know the SOEFA for any other reliever, or on a day that isn’t Sunday, hit us on Twitter or in the comments section. Also, as we look to improve SOEFA for next season, let us know if you have any suggestions!

Rank Player Team SOEFA
1 Sergio Santos Blue Jays 1.03
2 Koji Uehara Red Sox 0.97
3 Greg Holland Royals 0.94
4 Neal Cotts Rangers 0.94
5 Kenley Jansen Dodgers 0.89
6 Louis Coleman Royals 0.89
7 Kevin Siegrist Cardinals 0.80
8 Drew Smyly Tigers 0.79
9 Javier Lopez Giants 0.79
10 Will Smith Royals 0.78
11 Jesse Crain White Sox 0.78
12 Mark Melancon Pirates 0.78
13 Luke Hochevar Royals 0.72
14 Joaquin Benoit Tigers 0.72
15 Craig Kimbrel Braves 0.70
16 Nick Vincent Padres 0.68
17 Sean Doolittle Athletics 0.67
18 Chris Withrow Dodgers 0.66
19 Jose Veras – – – 0.62
20 Brian Matusz Orioles 0.59
21 Jason Grilli Pirates 0.59
22 Tommy Hunter Orioles 0.58
23 Tanner Roark Nationals 0.57
24 Trevor Rosenthal Cardinals 0.57
25 Jake Diekman Phillies 0.57
26 David Huff – – – 0.57
27 Glen Perkins Twins 0.56
28 Sam LeCure Reds 0.56
29 Casey Janssen Blue Jays 0.56
30 Carlos Torres Mets 0.56
31 Casey Fien Twins 0.55
32 Josh Collmenter Diamondbacks 0.54
33 Jim Henderson Brewers 0.53
34 Alex Torres Rays 0.52
35 Edward Mujica Cardinals 0.51
36 Randy Choate Cardinals 0.51
37 Antonio Bastardo Phillies 0.50
38 Paco Rodriguez Dodgers 0.49
39 Dan Otero Athletics 0.49
40 Juan Perez Blue Jays 0.49
41 Jordan Walden Braves 0.48
42 Brett Cecil Blue Jays 0.47
43 Andrew Miller Red Sox 0.47
44 Seth Maness Cardinals 0.47
45 Chad Qualls Marlins 0.45
46 Bobby Parnell Mets 0.44
47 Kevin Gausman Orioles 0.44
48 Shawn Kelley Yankees 0.43
49 Matt Reynolds Diamondbacks 0.42
50 Brandon Kintzler Brewers 0.41
51 Joe Thatcher – – – 0.41
52 J.P. Howell Dodgers 0.40
53 Vin Mazzaro Pirates 0.40
54 Jonathan Papelbon Phillies 0.40
55 Tanner Scheppers Rangers 0.40
56 Carlos Villanueva Cubs 0.40
57 Jason Frasor Rangers 0.39
58 David Carpenter Braves 0.39
59 Tony Watson Pirates 0.39
60 Manny Parra Reds 0.39
61 Junichi Tazawa Red Sox 0.39
62 Steve Cishek Marlins 0.38
63 Brad Ziegler Diamondbacks 0.38
64 Ernesto Frieri Angels 0.38
65 Darren O’Day Orioles 0.37
66 Donovan Hand Brewers 0.37
67 Luis Avilan Braves 0.37
68 Sergio Romo Giants 0.36
69 Aroldis Chapman Reds 0.35
70 Francisco Rodriguez – – – 0.35
71 Robbie Ross Rangers 0.33
72 Blake Parker Cubs 0.33
73 Ross Ohlendorf Nationals 0.32
74 Will Harris Diamondbacks 0.32
75 Josh Outman Rockies 0.32
76 Jean Machi Giants 0.32
77 Luke Gregerson Padres 0.32
78 David Robertson Yankees 0.32
79 Mariano Rivera Yankees 0.31
80 Tom Gorzelanny Brewers 0.31
81 Jerome Williams Angels 0.31
82 Joel Peralta Rays 0.31
83 Tim Collins Royals 0.30
84 Tyler Clippard Nationals 0.30
85 Aaron Loup Blue Jays 0.30
86 Joe Smith Indians 0.29
87 Dan Jennings Marlins 0.28
88 Craig Stammen Nationals 0.28
89 Anthony Varvaro Braves 0.27
90 Scott Downs – – – 0.27
91 Luis Ayala – – – 0.27
92 Craig Breslow Red Sox 0.26
93 Matt Belisle Rockies 0.26
94 Addison Reed White Sox 0.26
95 Nate Jones White Sox 0.26
96 Cody Allen Indians 0.26
97 Jamey Wright Rays 0.25
98 Luke Putkonen Tigers 0.25
99 Fernando Rodney Rays 0.24
100 Grant Balfour Athletics 0.24
101 Santiago Casilla Giants 0.23
102 Alfredo Simon Reds 0.23
103 Boone Logan Yankees 0.23
104 Jared Burton Twins 0.22
105 Chad Gaudin Giants 0.22
106 Mike Dunn Marlins 0.21
107 Neil Wagner Blue Jays 0.20
108 Joakim Soria Rangers 0.20
109 Charlie Furbush Mariners 0.20
110 Caleb Thielbar Twins 0.20
111 Rex Brothers Rockies 0.20
112 Rob Scahill Rockies 0.19
113 Danny Farquhar Mariners 0.19
114 Preston Claiborne Yankees 0.19
115 Bryan Shaw Indians 0.18
116 J.C. Gutierrez – – – 0.18
117 Rafael Betancourt Rockies 0.17
118 Dale Thayer Padres 0.16
119 Steve Delabar Blue Jays 0.16
120 J.J. Putz Diamondbacks 0.14
121 Rafael Soriano Nationals 0.13
122 Matt Lindstrom White Sox 0.13
123 Justin Wilson Pirates 0.13
124 LaTroy Hawkins Mets 0.12
125 Brandon Workman Red Sox 0.12
126 Oliver Perez Mariners 0.12
127 Tim Stauffer Padres 0.12
128 Ryan Webb Marlins 0.11
129 Adam Ottavino Rockies 0.11
130 Scott Rice Mets 0.11
131 Anthony Swarzak Twins 0.11
132 Wilton Lopez Rockies 0.11
133 Jim Johnson Orioles 0.09
134 Darren Oliver Blue Jays 0.09
135 Heath Bell Diamondbacks 0.09
136 Brian Duensing Twins 0.09
137 Jesse Chavez Athletics 0.08
138 Joe Nathan Rangers 0.08
139 Gonzalez Germen Mets 0.08
140 Andrew Bailey Red Sox 0.08
141 Jeanmar Gomez Pirates 0.08
142 Sandy Rosario Giants 0.07
143 Bruce Rondon Tigers 0.06
144 Fernando Abad Nationals 0.06
145 Burke Badenhop Brewers 0.06
146 Joe Kelly Cardinals 0.06
147 Kevin Gregg Cubs 0.05
148 Yoervis Medina Mariners 0.05
149 Huston Street Padres 0.05
150 Tyson Ross Padres 0.04
151 Logan Ondrusek Reds 0.04
152 Matt Thornton – – – 0.03
153 Dustin McGowan Blue Jays 0.03
154 Kelvin Herrera Royals 0.02
155 Matt Guerrier – – – 0.01
156 Alfredo Figaro Brewers 0.01
157 Ryan Cook Athletics 0.01
158 Brad Boxberger Padres 0.01
159 David Aardsma Mets 0.01
160 Ross Wolf Rangers 0.00
161 J.J. Hoover Reds -0.01
162 Josh Edgin Mets -0.01
163 Dane de la Rosa Angels -0.01
164 Joe Ortiz Rangers -0.01
165 Jerry Blevins Athletics -0.01
166 Edgmer Escalona Rockies -0.02
167 Josh Zeid Astros -0.03
168 Marc Rzepczynski – – – -0.03
169 Kevin Jepsen Angels -0.03
170 Manuel Corpas Rockies -0.03
171 Tyler Thornburg Brewers -0.05
172 Evan Scribner Athletics -0.05
173 Tom Wilhelmsen Mariners -0.05
174 Chris Perez Indians -0.05
175 Donnie Veal White Sox -0.05
176 Pat Neshek Athletics -0.06
177 Michael Kohn Angels -0.07
178 James Russell Cubs -0.07
179 Carter Capps Mariners -0.08
180 Carlos Martinez Cardinals -0.09
181 Jared Hughes Pirates -0.10
182 Fernando Salas Cardinals -0.10
183 Darin Downs Tigers -0.10
184 Aaron Crow Royals -0.11
185 Jake McGee Rays -0.11
186 Drake Britton Red Sox -0.12
187 Wesley Wright – – – -0.12
188 Cesar Ramos Rays -0.13
189 Matt Albers Indians -0.13
190 Troy Patton Orioles -0.14
191 Ryan Pressly Twins -0.14
192 Jake Dunning Giants -0.14
193 Pedro Strop – – – -0.15
194 Ronald Belisario Dodgers -0.15
195 A.J. Ramos Marlins -0.15
196 Brad Brach Padres -0.15
197 David Purcey White Sox -0.15
198 Drew Storen Nationals -0.17
199 Josh Fields Astros -0.17
200 Bryan Morris Pirates -0.17
201 David Hernandez Diamondbacks -0.17
202 Raul Valdes Phillies -0.19
203 Cory Gearrin Braves -0.19
204 Adam Warren Yankees -0.19
205 Scott Atchison Mets -0.20
206 Jose Mijares Giants -0.21
207 Lucas Luetge Mariners -0.21
208 Jonathan Broxton Reds -0.24
209 Rich Hill Indians -0.24
210 Justin De Fratus Phillies -0.24
211 Ramon Troncoso White Sox -0.25
212 Mike Adams Phillies -0.26
213 Tony Sipp Diamondbacks -0.26
214 Kyle Farnsworth – – – -0.26
215 Blake Beavan Mariners -0.27
216 Vinnie Pestano Indians -0.27
217 Al Alburquerque Tigers -0.28
218 Rob Wooten Brewers -0.28
219 Josh Roenicke Twins -0.30
220 Nick Hagadone Indians -0.30
221 Garrett Richards Angels -0.31
222 Brad Lincoln Blue Jays -0.31
223 Phil Coke Tigers -0.32
224 Michael Bowden Cubs -0.33
225 T.J. McFarland Orioles -0.33
226 Ryan Mattheus Nationals -0.33
227 Carlos Marmol – – – -0.34
228 George Kontos Giants -0.34
229 Zach Duke – – – -0.35
230 John Axford – – – -0.36
231 Paul Clemens Astros -0.37
232 Dylan Axelrod White Sox -0.38
233 Guillermo Moscoso Giants -0.38
234 Travis Blackley – – – -0.41
235 Clayton Mortensen Red Sox -0.42
236 Esmil Rogers Blue Jays -0.43
237 Alex Wilson Red Sox -0.45
238 Brandon Lyon Mets -0.49
239 Greg Burke Mets -0.49
240 Brandon Maurer Mariners -0.51
241 Michael Gonzalez Brewers -0.51
242 Joba Chamberlain Yankees -0.52
243 Lucas Harrell Astros -0.52
244 Josh Lueke Rays -0.53
245 Bruce Chen Royals -0.54
246 Jose Cisnero Astros -0.58
247 Jeremy Horst Phillies -0.59
248 Hector Ambriz Astros -0.63
249 Hector Rondon Cubs -0.63
250 Dallas Keuchel Astros -0.64
251 Luis Garcia Phillies -0.66
252 Jeremy Affeldt Giants -0.67
253 Ian Krol Nationals -0.69
254 Cory Rasmus – – – -0.69
255 Henry Rodriguez – – – -0.70
256 Michael Kirkman Rangers -0.75
257 Brandon League Dodgers -0.85
258 Anthony Bass Padres -0.93
259 Shawn Camp Cubs -1.03
260 Mitchell Boggs – – – -1.40
261 Curtis Partch Reds -1.42

How Was The Game? (September 21, 2013)

Clip art illustration of a Cartoon Tiger with a Missing Tooth

A beauty, at the start and at the end.

Tigers 7, White Sox 6 (Magic # = 2 )

Rick Porcello (29 GS, 174.2 IP, 4.38 ERA, 3.57 FIP, 3.0 WAR) gave up 2 runs across 6.2 innings tonight, but he was even filthier than that line indicates as he punched out 9 Sox and walked none. He was commanding all three pitches and was missing bats left and right as the he mowed through the White Sox lineup. Chris Sale was as good on the other side and kept the Tigers off the board the entire way, but he had to give the ball to the bullpen and that didn’t go very well. Trailing 6-0 entering the 9th, the Tigers jumped the Sox with three straight hits and then a Dirks bomb to pull within one. Infante walked. Santiago bunted him up. Avila walked. Jackson walked. Hunter tied it with a sac fly and then Cabrera walked before the Sox finally escaped and sent this one to extras in which the Tigers loaded the bases in the 11th and brought Infante to the dish. As you would guess, he hit a walk off infield single. This was just a tremendously fun game to watch as both pitchers worked quickly and effectively from start to finish – and then someone let the bullpens allow it to get out of hand. The Tigers final home game of the regular season awaits the team on Sunday with Anibal Sanchez (27 GS, 172 IP, 2.51 ERA, 2.48 FIP, 5.7 WAR) toeing the rubber.

The Moment: The Tigers scored 6th in the 9th to send it to extras in part courtesy of a Dirks no doubt blast.